US Midterms: A Referendum On Trump's Future

Political commentator Tash McGill joins Andrew Urquhart to unpack the US midterm elections, explaining how control of the House and Senate will act as a report card on the Trump presidency and the unofficial starting gun for the next presidential race. She flags Ohio, Michigan, Texas, Maine and Georgia as the seats to watch, with slim margins likely to decide the Senate, and predicts a Democratic-leaning House result will be broadly accepted without the unrest seen after Trump's earlier election loss.

McGill warns the result carries global weight, with Russia, China and Ukraine watching closely, and notes possible movement on tariffs that matter directly to New Zealand as Trump's second term nears its end. She also weighs up the murky succession battles emerging in both major parties, questioning whether JD Vance is truly the Republican heir apparent given internal moderate opposition, while pointing to Democrats like Newsom, Shapiro, Buttigieg and Ocasio-Cortez jostling without a clear frontrunner - leaving both parties still searching for an identity beyond simply being pro- or anti-Trump.

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